Rain / Lech vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
RAI
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RAI
3 - 1
FRO
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
RAI
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RAI
3 - 1
TSV
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 0
RAI
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 2
ISM
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ELT
3 - 2
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 1
SEL
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
UNT
4 - 0
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ERB
0 - 2
HEI
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |