Rain / Lech vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ISM
4 - 2
RAI
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RAI
2 - 0
FRO
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 0
RAI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 2
RAI
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
RAI
3 - 3
BAD
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ISM
0 - 3
BUC
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 0
BUC
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAY
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 0
ERB
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
0 - 2
BUC
24%
24%
53%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |