Rain / Lech vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 2
RAI
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
HAH
2 - 2
RAI
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 4
FCP
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
RAI
0 - 1
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HEI
0 - 0
RAI
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 4
KIR
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
HEI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DAC
1 - 1
BOG
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 2
PUL
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
UNT
1 - 0
BOG
74%
17%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |