Rad Beograd vs Jedinstvo Ub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
16º
15º
44
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 1
RAD
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RAD
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 2
FKS
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 1
FKZ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZEL
4 - 1
RAD
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jedinstvo Ub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JED
0 - 0
LOZ
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JED
1 - 0
MAV
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
JED
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JED
3 - 1
MET
16%
26%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
INI
2 - 1
JED
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |