Racing vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
4 - 4
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
RAC
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 1
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 0
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
GEN
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VCF
5 - 1
MLL
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 2
VCF
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 0
VCF
24%
27%
49%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VCF
3 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |