Racing Olavarría vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 0
RAO
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 1
JUU
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
GIM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
GIM
59%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |