Racing Ferrol vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CUL
1 - 0
RCF
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RCF
4 - 2
LAL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
RCF
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RCF
3 - 2
CDD
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 1
RCF
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDO
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
CDO
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 1
BOU
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORD
2 - 0
CDO
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDO
4 - 0
ASP
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |