Racing Castrelos vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
CUN
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
TYD
28%
23%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
MIN
36%
24%
41%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |