Racing Castrelos vs Vincios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
APO
3 - 2
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAR
27%
22%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RAP
4 - 1
CAS
47%
22%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
CRI
45%
23%
32%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
TEI
28%
22%
50%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vincios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 2
CHO
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
VIN
56%
21%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIN
2 - 3
LAV
29%
23%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 0
VIN
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
APO
1 - 2
VIN
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |