Quorn vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
QUO
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 0
QUO
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
QUO
1 - 0
SUT
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
5 - 2
QUO
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
QUO
1 - 3
BRI
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
ROM
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 6
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |