Cearense 1 Round 5

Quixadá vs Horizonte analysis

Quixadá Horizonte
47 ELO 53
2.1% Tilt 6.5%
6882º General ELO ranking 5836º
280º Country ELO ranking 217º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Quixadá
24.8%
Draw
40.4%
Horizonte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
Quixadá
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.4%
Win probability
Horizonte
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Quixadá
-16%
+30%
Horizonte

ELO progression

Quixadá
Horizonte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2008
CEA
Ceará
2 - 3
Quixadá
QUI
69%
18%
13%
44 63 19 0
13 Jan. 2008
ITA
Itapipoca
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
45%
24%
31%
45 46 1 -1
10 Jan. 2008
QUI
Quixadá
2 - 3
Ferroviário
FER
47%
24%
29%
46 47 1 -1
05 Jan. 2008
BOV
Boa Viagem EC
1 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
28%
24%
48%
47 34 13 -1
08 Apr. 2007
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
0 - 2
Quixadá
QUI
52%
22%
26%
45 48 3 +2

Matches

Horizonte
Horizonte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2008
HOR
Horizonte
2 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
58%
21%
20%
54 48 6 0
13 Jan. 2008
HOR
Horizonte
1 - 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
60%
21%
19%
54 47 7 0
10 Jan. 2008
ICA
Icasa
0 - 0
Horizonte
HOR
41%
25%
34%
54 52 2 0
05 Jan. 2008
HOR
Horizonte
5 - 1
Ceará
CEA
24%
23%
53%
52 64 12 +2