Cearense 2 Semi-finals

Global 3-3

Quixadá vs Crato analysis

Quixadá Crato
39 ELO 33
0.5% Tilt -0.4%
6951º General ELO ranking 10078º
280º Country ELO ranking 420º
ELO win probability
51%
Quixadá
21%
Draw
28%
Crato

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
Quixadá
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28%
Win probability
Crato
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Quixadá
-16%
+92%
Crato

ELO progression

Quixadá
Crato
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2025
CRA
Crato
3 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
24%
21%
55%
40 31 9 0
19 Mar. 2025
QUI
Quixadá
5 - 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
61%
20%
19%
40 30 10 0
16 Mar. 2025
CRA
Crato
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
18%
19%
63%
42 25 17 -2
09 Mar. 2025
QUI
Quixadá
1 - 0
Pacatuba
PAC
71%
17%
12%
42 23 19 0
06 Mar. 2025
ICA
Icasa
1 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
38%
24%
39%
42 42 0 0

Matches

Crato
Crato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2025
CRA
Crato
3 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
24%
21%
55%
31 40 9 0
28 Mar. 2025
CRA
Crato
0 - 0
Caucaia EC
CAU
21%
22%
58%
30 43 13 +1
23 Mar. 2025
PAC
Pacatuba
1 - 3
Crato
CRA
28%
22%
51%
29 25 4 +1
16 Mar. 2025
CRA
Crato
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
18%
19%
63%
25 42 17 +4
09 Mar. 2025
CRA
Crato
1 - 1
Icasa
ICA
21%
25%
54%
24 42 18 +1