Cearense 1 1st Round Round 9

Quixadá vs Ceará analysis

Quixadá Ceará
48 ELO 68
8.2% Tilt 1.2%
6689º General ELO ranking 128º
282º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15%
Quixadá
21.1%
Draw
63.9%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
Quixadá
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.9%
Win probability
Ceará
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Quixadá
-16%
-7%
Ceará

ELO progression

Quixadá
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2016
QUI
Quixadá
0 - 1
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
56%
23%
22%
49 46 3 0
14 Feb. 2016
QUI
Quixadá
0 - 0
Tiradentes CE
TIR
54%
23%
23%
49 47 2 0
04 Feb. 2016
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
23%
25%
52%
50 40 10 -1
30 Jan. 2016
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
77%
16%
8%
51 68 17 -1
22 Mar. 2015
QUI
Quixadá
3 - 1
Ceará
CEA
13%
21%
66%
49 71 22 +2

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2016
CEA
Ceará
5 - 0
Flamengo PI
FLA
84%
12%
4%
67 44 23 0
14 Feb. 2016
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
20%
23%
57%
68 53 15 -1
11 Feb. 2016
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
9%
18%
73%
69 41 28 -1
06 Feb. 2016
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Tiradentes CE
TIR
81%
14%
6%
68 47 21 +1
04 Feb. 2016
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
0 - 2
Ceará
CEA
13%
21%
66%
68 47 21 0