Quixadá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 0
TIR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
QUI
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
5 - 0
FLA
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
TIR
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |