Quirigua vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
QUI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
SAC
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
QUI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ZAC
2 - 1
QUI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ACH
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAY
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIX
46%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ZAC
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
COB
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |