CD Quintana vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
QUI
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 0
CDD
56%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
QUI
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 0
GUA
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SPR
1 - 1
QUI
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDD
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 3
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
ADL
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ZAL
2 - 1
VIL
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDS
31%
26%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |