CD Quintana vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 2
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
QUI
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
QUI
14%
17%
70%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 4
SAM
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 1
QUI
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
SAM
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
HER
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 8
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |