Quick '20 vs Heino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
9º
30
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 37 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 32 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
QUI
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAS
62%
17%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 3
AZS
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VVS
2 - 1
QUI
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Heino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SDV
0 - 5
HEI
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
VVS
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ROH
1 - 2
HEI
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
BER
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |