Quick '20 vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
10º
29
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
73.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 2
QUI
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
PEL
61%
18%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
QUI
31%
20%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AZS
1 - 3
QUI
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 3
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUI
0 - 2
EXC
13%
21%
67%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDV
0 - 0
BUI
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUI
2 - 5
VVS
15%
21%
65%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ROH
0 - 1
BUI
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUI
1 - 1
BER
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |