Quick '20 vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 0
QUI
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
WKE
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 3
AFC
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
JVC
2 - 1
QUI
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 3
DET
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 1
TEL
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 1
DET
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 1
ACH
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 1
HBS
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
EVV
1 - 3
ACH
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |