QRM vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
3 - 0
QUE
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOC
1 - 1
QUE
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 3
NIO
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
QUE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 2
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PFC
2 - 2
TFC
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
6 - 0
AUX
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
TFC
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 3
CAE
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |