QRM vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
QUE
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 1
LES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 1
QUE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 0
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
QUE
5 - 0
PAU
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUI
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |