QRM vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
QUE
1 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
QUE
1 - 4
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
QUE
4 - 1
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CON
2 - 2
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SEN
1 - 1
CON
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
CON
0 - 2
BOI
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |