QRM II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
QUE
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 2
CAE
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 4
OIS
25%
20%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 1
DIV
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 0
QUE
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
DIE
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DIV
1 - 3
BAY
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 1
SAI
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 2
PAM
23%
21%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GON
2 - 2
BAY
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |