Queimadense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queimadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 1
QUE
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
QUE
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
CAM
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAM
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
SOU
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
SOU
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |