Queensland Lions FC vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+413%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
QUE
8 - 2
NOR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
6 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 5
QUE
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 3
ROC
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RED
4 - 2
QUE
26%
22%
51%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
5 - 2
NPI
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 1
EAS
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
OLY
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAP
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |