Queens University Belfast vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
3º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
QUB
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRF
2 - 3
QUB
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 1
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
1 - 2
BAN
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 4
QUB
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 3
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOB
4 - 0
PSN
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
TOB
84%
11%
4%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 1
TOB
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |