Quart B vs Comacros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 4
QUA
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
2 - 2
PON
39%
23%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 3
QUA
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
3 - 1
QUA
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 1
BES
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comacros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
5 - 1
SCO
75%
15%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SCO
3 - 4
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SCO
4 - 1
SAG
45%
23%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 1
SCO
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |