Quart B vs Palafrugell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
QUA
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
QUA
3 - 3
VIL
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
QUA
2 - 0
SVI
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
QUA
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
QUA
1 - 7
BLA
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palafrugell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAT
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LLO
1 - 5
PAL
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 1
HOS
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAL
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 6
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |