Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
MET
4 - 1
QIZ
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
QIZ
2 - 0
DSA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 1
QIZ
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
QIZ
1 - 1
MAS
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
MAS
2 - 1
QIZ
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NEF
1 - 1
NAS
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
PAK
3 - 0
NEF
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
NEF
2 - 0
AND
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SOG
0 - 3
NEF
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
NEF
3 - 0
NAV
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |