Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
48
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
QIZ
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUX
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
QIZ
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
QIZ
2 - 1
SOG
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
PAK
6 - 0
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
NAS
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 1
FKT
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 1
AND
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALS
2 - 0
NAS
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 0
NAS
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |