Azerbaijan Second Division Round 11

Qarabag II vs FC Kapaz II analysis

Qarabag II FC Kapaz II
54 ELO 55
-7.3% Tilt 7.5%
28025º General ELO ranking 49501º
53º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Qarabag II
25.8%
Draw
29.3%
FC Kapaz II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Qarabag II
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
FC Kapaz II
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Qarabag II
Their league position
FC Kapaz II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
14º
11º
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Araz PFK
69
69
100%
Neftçi II
59
59
100%
Turan-T II
48
48
100%
Qəbələ II
44
44
0%
Zaqatala
44
44
0%
Səbail II
44
44
100%
FC Kapaz II
43
43
0%
MOIK
43
43
0%
Qaradağ Lökbatan
41
41
100%
Shamakhi FK II
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Qarabag II
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Zirə II
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Sumqayıt II
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Mingachevir FK
14º
20
20
14º
0%
15º
20
20
15º
0%
Expected probabilities
Qarabag II
FC Kapaz II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Qarabag II
FC Kapaz II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qarabag II
Qarabag II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2022
FFK
Shamakhi FK II
4 - 2
Qarabag II
QAR
36%
26%
39%
57 53 4 0
26 Oct. 2022
QAR
Qarabag II
1 - 0
Imisli FK
IFK
88%
10%
2%
57 10 47 0
12 Oct. 2022
ZAQ
Zaqatala
1 - 1
Qarabag II
QAR
40%
25%
35%
57 54 3 0
04 Oct. 2022
QAR
Qarabag II
0 - 1
Neftçi II
NEF
32%
27%
41%
57 61 4 0
29 Sep. 2022
SFK
Səbail II
2 - 1
Qarabag II
QAR
22%
23%
55%
58 44 14 -1

Matches

FC Kapaz II
FC Kapaz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2022
FCK
FC Kapaz II
2 - 1
Zaqatala
ZAQ
34%
24%
42%
52 55 3 0
26 Oct. 2022
NEF
Neftçi II
1 - 1
FC Kapaz II
FCK
64%
21%
15%
52 63 11 0
18 Oct. 2022
FCK
FC Kapaz II
2 - 1
Səbail II
SFK
60%
21%
19%
52 47 5 0
11 Oct. 2022
FKQ
Qaradağ Lökbatan
2 - 3
FC Kapaz II
FCK
60%
22%
18%
51 59 8 +1
05 Oct. 2022
FCK
FC Kapaz II
1 - 0
Mingachevir FK
ENE
54%
23%
24%
50 48 2 +1