Qarabağ vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
OLP
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
OLP
0 - 3
QAR
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 7
QAR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
SUM
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUM
1 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |