Cup . Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Qarabağ vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
QAR
2 - 1
AZA
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 1
QAR
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
QAR
0 - 0
SHA
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SUM
1 - 2
QAR
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 4
QAR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SIM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 1
FKN
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 0
AZA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
0 - 3
SIM
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 0
FKQ
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |