Cup . Final

Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis

Qarabağ Neftçi
73 ELO 70
-10.5% Tilt -6.6%
937º General ELO ranking 1003º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40%
Qarabağ
25.6%
Draw
34.4%
Neftçi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
Qarabağ
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
Neftçi
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Qarabağ
+109%
-13%
Neftçi

ELO progression

Qarabağ
Neftçi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qarabağ
Qarabağ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2015
SHA
Shamakhi
2 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
48%
27%
26%
72 72 0 0
16 May. 2015
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 0
Sumgayit
SUM
51%
25%
24%
72 64 8 0
08 May. 2015
KHA
Khazar Lankaran
1 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
42%
27%
31%
72 67 5 0
02 May. 2015
FKQ
Gabala FK
1 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
46%
27%
26%
72 72 0 0
25 Apr. 2015
QAR
Qarabağ
3 - 2
Neftçi
FKN
45%
28%
27%
72 71 1 0

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2015
FKN
Neftçi
1 - 1
AZAL PFC Baku
AZA
50%
27%
23%
72 71 1 0
22 May. 2015
FKB
FK Baku
0 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
32%
28%
41%
72 63 9 0
08 May. 2015
SHA
Shamakhi
4 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
46%
27%
27%
72 72 0 0
01 May. 2015
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 2
Sumgayit
SUM
53%
25%
23%
71 64 7 +1
25 Apr. 2015
QAR
Qarabağ
3 - 2
Neftçi
FKN
45%
28%
27%
71 72 1 0
X