Q5 / Nourie Transit FC vs As du Port analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
7%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
8º
9º
30
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 39 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Q5 / Nourie Transit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HOP
0 - 0
QNT
77%
13%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
AS7
4 - 0
QNT
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 1
QNT
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DIK
2 - 0
QNT
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
QNT
1 - 3
ASA
16%
16%
69%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
As du Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 2
POR
34%
21%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HOP
2 - 2
POR
33%
21%
47%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
GUE
2 - 1
POR
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
ASA
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |