UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-4
Pyunik vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
PYU
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PYU
4 - 2
KIL
82%
12%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
PYU
0 - 1
GAN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
PYU
2 - 3
BAN
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
ULI
3 - 1
PYU
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
PYU
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAR
6 - 0
MLA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BEO
0 - 3
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
27%
28%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |