NCAA Division I Horizon League Round 3

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Robert Morris analysis

Purdue Fort Wayne Robert Morris
19 ELO 14
-0.3% Tilt -4%
46838º General ELO ranking 46844º
842º Country ELO ranking 848º
ELO win probability
70.2%
Purdue Fort Wayne
16.4%
Draw
13.4%
Robert Morris

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
Purdue Fort Wayne
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.4%
Win probability
Robert Morris
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Purdue Fort Wayne
-38%
+32%
Robert Morris

ELO progression

Purdue Fort Wayne
Robert Morris
 Green Bay
Detroit Mercy
UIC Flames
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Purdue Fort Wayne
Purdue Fort Wayne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
0 - 1
Northern Kentucky
NKN
15%
19%
66%
19 33 14 0
11 Sep. 2021
OGG
Oakland
2 - 0
Purdue Fort Wayne
PFW
85%
10%
5%
19 36 17 0
05 Apr. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
1 - 2
Wright State
WSR
21%
21%
58%
20 29 9 -1
30 Mar. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
4 - 2
Detroit Mercy
DMT
49%
21%
30%
20 20 0 0
18 Mar. 2021
PFW
Purdue Fort Wayne
0 - 5
UIC Flames
UIC
16%
18%
66%
21 33 12 -1

Matches

Robert Morris
Robert Morris
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
1 - 2
Milwaukee Panthers
MPT
9%
15%
76%
15 32 17 0
11 Sep. 2021
NKN
Northern Kentucky
0 - 1
Robert Morris
RMC
88%
9%
4%
14 34 20 +1
05 Apr. 2021
MPT
Milwaukee Panthers
4 - 0
Robert Morris
RMC
87%
9%
4%
14 30 16 0
30 Mar. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
0 - 1
Wright State
WSR
10%
16%
74%
14 29 15 0
18 Mar. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
0 - 2
Northern Kentucky
NKN
8%
15%
77%
16 34 18 -2