Purbach vs Stinatz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 2
PUR
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
PUR
13 - 2
SCB
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 0
PUR
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 0
NEU
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STM
0 - 4
PUR
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
STI
0 - 2
GUS
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SIG
4 - 2
STI
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
STI
48%
25%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
STI
2 - 1
FCW
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
STI
3 - 2
HOR
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |