Purbach vs Neuberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
PUR
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
PUR
1 - 1
STM
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
KLI
1 - 2
PUR
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
PUR
5 - 0
DEU
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 3
PUR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Neuberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
STM
5 - 0
NEU
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEU
4 - 1
KLI
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
DEU
4 - 3
NEU
32%
22%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NEU
1 - 2
MAT
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NEU
1 - 2
NEU
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |