Purbach vs Drassburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 0
PUR
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PUR
4 - 0
JEN
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
PUR
2 - 0
PIN
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
PUR
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
SVE
1 - 1
PUR
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Drassburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DRA
0 - 0
HOR
59%
19%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
DRA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
DRA
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
2 - 1
NEU
91%
6%
3%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
6 - 0
DEU
80%
12%
9%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |