Punaruu vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-15%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punaruu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TEM
1 - 1
PUN
52%
20%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASJ
0 - 13
PUN
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CEN
4 - 0
PUN
46%
20%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUN
6 - 2
TFC
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PUN
4 - 1
OLY
78%
13%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
10 - 0
ASE
76%
13%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ASE
0 - 5
TEM
30%
21%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PIR
11 - 0
ASE
87%
8%
5%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 4
ASJ
80%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASE
29%
20%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |