Pumas UNAM vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PUM
2 - 2
ATS
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TIJ
0 - 0
PUM
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PUM
4 - 1
LEO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PUM
2 - 1
JUA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 2
HOD
17%
20%
63%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HOD
1 - 3
GAL
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 2
HOD
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
3 - 1
HOD
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HOD
3 - 1
NER
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |