Pumas UNAM vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JAG
4 - 0
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIJ
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
QRO
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |