Liga MX Finals Ap. Eliminatorias. Semi-finals

Global 4-4

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis

Pumas UNAM Cruz Azul
79 ELO 83
7.9% Tilt -1.7%
473º General ELO ranking 487º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Pumas UNAM
25.5%
Draw
37.6%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.6%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pumas UNAM
+11%
+5%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
4 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
58%
23%
19%
79 83 4 0
29 Nov. 2020
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
44%
24%
32%
79 80 1 0
27 Nov. 2020
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
54%
23%
23%
78 81 3 +1
08 Nov. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
58%
23%
20%
78 84 6 0
01 Nov. 2020
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
56%
24%
20%
78 76 2 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
4 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
58%
23%
19%
83 79 4 0
30 Nov. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
49%
26%
25%
84 85 1 -1
27 Nov. 2020
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
56%
23%
21%
83 85 2 +1
08 Nov. 2020
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
58%
23%
20%
84 78 6 -1
01 Nov. 2020
MON
Monterrey
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
84 84 0 0
X