Liga MX Apertura . Jor. 17

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis

Pumas UNAM Cruz Azul
78 ELO 83
-11.7% Tilt -21.2%
468º General ELO ranking 449º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31%
Pumas UNAM
27.1%
Draw
41.9%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.9%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pumas UNAM
+8%
+16%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2013
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
39%
29%
31%
78 73 5 0
27 Oct. 2013
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Veracruz
VER
58%
24%
18%
78 67 11 0
20 Oct. 2013
JAG
Chiapas
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
54%
25%
21%
78 77 1 0
06 Oct. 2013
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
30%
26%
44%
78 83 5 0
03 Oct. 2013
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
48%
27%
25%
79 76 3 -1

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2013
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
CA Morelia
MOR
45%
26%
29%
83 83 0 0
27 Oct. 2013
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
83 77 6 0
23 Oct. 2013
CSH
CS Herediano
1 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
36%
26%
38%
83 73 10 0
20 Oct. 2013
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
América
AME
44%
26%
30%
83 83 0 0
06 Oct. 2013
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
1 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
83 77 6 0
X