Liga MX Finals Ap. . Semi-finals
Global 2-7
Pumas UNAM vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIG
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 1
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 0
PUM
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
VER
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |