Pumas Morelos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 1
PUM
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
PUM
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
PUM
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
SNL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
6 - 4
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
28%
30%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
JAG
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |