Puerto Rico Islanders vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Rico Islanders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRI
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
PRI
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PRI
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
PRI
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PRI
3 - 1
AUS
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TOL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
PRI
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |