Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 0
PUE
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 1
HUA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
USF
1 - 1
PUE
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 3
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 1
PUE
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 1
COQ
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |