Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
COB
2 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 2
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CSL
4 - 2
PUE
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 0
UCH
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
DLS
0 - 1
PUE
43%
24%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
COQ
2 - 0
UCO
28%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |